Short Term Load Prediction based on LSTM Network for Iraqi Thermal Power Plant

Electricity generation must satisfy the demand for electric loads in order to optimize the functioning of the power system. Load prediction can assist power companies in safely and efficiently operating their electrical systems. Load prediction is a process employed by power providers to predict the quantity of power or energy always demanded for balancing supply and demand. Short-term load prediction (STLP) with high accuracy is crucial to the seamless operation of the power system and the improvement of economic benefits. An approach for predicting short-term electrical demand utilizing long short-term memory (LSTM) based on actual data collected from Wasit Thermal Power Plant in Iraq is proposed in this paper. MATLAB software is utilized to implement the data used in this work. The assessment metrics employed were mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R-squared) to assess the precision of load prediction. The findings demonstrate that the LSTM model is highly effective at forecasting the random characteristics of an electrical demand.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Electrical and Electronics Research
Published
2024-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.37391/ijeer.120440
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.21
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article

Short Term Load Prediction based on LSTM Network for Iraqi Thermal Power Plant

Sarah Abdul-Wahid, Mahmoud‐Reza Haghifam
1 citations
International Journal of Electrical and Electronics Research
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.21
article

Short Term Load Prediction based on LSTM Network for Iraqi Thermal Power Plant

Sarah Abdul-Wahid, Mahmoud‐Reza Haghifam
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Electricity generation must satisfy the demand for electric loads in order to optimize the functioning of the power system. Load prediction can assist power companies in safely and efficiently operating their electrical systems. Load prediction is a process employed by power providers to predict the quantity of power or energy always demanded for balancing supply and demand. Short-term load prediction (STLP) with high accuracy is crucial to the seamless operation of the power system and the improvement of economic benefits. An approach for predicting short-term electrical demand utilizing long short-term memory (LSTM) based on actual data collected from Wasit Thermal Power Plant in Iraq is proposed in this paper. MATLAB software is utilized to implement the data used in this work. The assessment metrics employed were mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R-squared) to assess the precision of load prediction. The findings demonstrate that the LSTM model is highly effective at forecasting the random characteristics of an electrical demand.

International Journal of Electrical and Electronics ResearchVol. 12(4)
Islamic Azad University South Tehran Branch (IR), Tarbiat Modares University (IR)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 44%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.21
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