Post-election chaos leaves Mozambique on the brink

Significance In line with the warnings of opposition leader Venancio Mondlane, demonstrations and serious violence ensued, including targeting of state and commercial property, a major jail break and attacks by so-called ‘Naparama’ militia in the country’s north. Impacts An economic crisis will likely ensue in 2025, with the state struggling to pay salaries. Defaults on domestic debt payments and additional pressure on external debt look highly likely. The jihadist insurgency in the north will regain its strength, and may return to attacking small towns.