Mapping Heatwave Socioeconomic Exposure in the Chinese Mainland for the Period of 2000–2019

Mounting evidence suggests an increasing heatwave risk in the Chinese mainland, posing notable threats to public health and the socioeconomic landscape. In a comprehensive analysis, considering both climate and socioeconomic factors, including Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and population dynamics, we systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal distribution of heatwave socioeconomic exposure in the Chinese mainland from 2000 to 2019, utilizing a more comprehensive heatwave hazard index (HHI) that synthesizes heatwave intensity, frequency, and duration as climate factor for the first time. Results show that (1) Heatwave exposure is pronounced in eastern China, particularly in Southeast (SE), North China (NC), and Southwest (SW) regions. From 2000 to 2019, heatwave exposure showed an overall upward trend, with the most rapid escalation observed in the SE, NC, and SW regions. Population exposure manifests as a clustered expansion pattern, while GDP exposure demonstrates a more centralized distribution. (2) Climatic factors exert the most notable influence on population exposure, while GDP predominantly impacts economic exposure. The combination of climate and socioeconomic factors contributes less to exposure rates, except in the Northeast (NE) and Southwest (SW) regions where it impacts GDP exposure most. (3) High-risk hotspot cities include Shanghai, Beijing, Chongqing, Guangzhou, Wuhan, Zhengzhou, Hangzhou, Xi’an, Tianjin, and Nanjing. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted interventions and mitigation strategies in these vulnerable areas.