Prediction of AAPL Closing Price based on ARIMA-LSTM Hybrid Model

In the context of highly volatile financial markets, accurately predicting stock prices remains an important and difficult task, particularly for major technology firms such as Apple Inc. (AAPL). Forecasting methods that are more traditional, like the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, perform well in linear analysis but have trouble handling the non-linear patterns that are common in financial information. In order to handle both linear and non-linear dynamics, this study presents a novel hybrid model that combines ARIMA with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. This model efficiently leverages the advantages of both approaches. Utilizing historical closing price data for AAPL obtained from Yahoo Finance, the study demonstrates that the ARIMA-LSTM model significantly enhances predictive accuracy and adapts proficiently to the complexities inherent in stock market fluctuations. As seen by the data, the model’s predictive ability has significantly improved, accounting for 91.1% of the fluctuation in stock prices. In addition to providing a more trustworthy prediction framework, this hybrid approach offers analysts and investors helpful information to assist them negotiate the turbulent nature of financial markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental Protection
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61173/71xhc692
Primary Topic
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Prediction of AAPL Closing Price based on ARIMA-LSTM Hybrid Model

Chih-Heng Li
Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental Protection
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
article

Prediction of AAPL Closing Price based on ARIMA-LSTM Hybrid Model

Chih-Heng Li
article en

Abstract

In the context of highly volatile financial markets, accurately predicting stock prices remains an important and difficult task, particularly for major technology firms such as Apple Inc. (AAPL). Forecasting methods that are more traditional, like the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, perform well in linear analysis but have trouble handling the non-linear patterns that are common in financial information. In order to handle both linear and non-linear dynamics, this study presents a novel hybrid model that combines ARIMA with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. This model efficiently leverages the advantages of both approaches. Utilizing historical closing price data for AAPL obtained from Yahoo Finance, the study demonstrates that the ARIMA-LSTM model significantly enhances predictive accuracy and adapts proficiently to the complexities inherent in stock market fluctuations. As seen by the data, the model’s predictive ability has significantly improved, accounting for 91.1% of the fluctuation in stock prices. In addition to providing a more trustworthy prediction framework, this hybrid approach offers analysts and investors helpful information to assist them negotiate the turbulent nature of financial markets.

Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental ProtectionVol. 1(10)
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Advanced Algorithms and Applications
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