An Analysis of Market Size Trends Forecasting and Range Prediction in Electric Vehicles Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Electric vehicles face fundamental challenges primarily related to battery and charging systems. Conducting a market size analysis is an essential component of market research as it provides insights into the potential sales volume within a specific market. This study focuses on conducting a comprehensive analysis of market size within a EV industry segment, alongside predictions for the range. By leveraging data-driven approaches and predictive modelling techniques, insights into market dynamics and future trends are explored. The article contains 177866 data the task of performing a market size analysis for the Electric Vehicles sector using Python. Range estimation of the electric vehicle has been conducted using Linear, Random Forest, Ridge, Lasso, and Elastic Net Regression model types. When predicting range, performance metrics such as R-Squared, Adjusted R-Squared, Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Error are used, while Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is utilized for current and estimated EV market size. Based on the findings, the Tesla brand is predominantly preferred. A consistent annual growth rate of 51% has been noted. Random Forest Regression is identified as the premier model for predicting electric vehicle range due to its superior performance metrics, such as a higher R-Squared value and lower mean squared error in comparison to other regression methods.

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Publication Details

Journal
Turkish Journal of Forecasting
Published
2024-12-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.34110/forecasting.1485136
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.42
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article

An Analysis of Market Size Trends Forecasting and Range Prediction in Electric Vehicles Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Hakan Kaya
2 citations
Turkish Journal of Forecasting
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
0.42
article

An Analysis of Market Size Trends Forecasting and Range Prediction in Electric Vehicles Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Hakan Kaya
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Electric vehicles face fundamental challenges primarily related to battery and charging systems. Conducting a market size analysis is an essential component of market research as it provides insights into the potential sales volume within a specific market. This study focuses on conducting a comprehensive analysis of market size within a EV industry segment, alongside predictions for the range. By leveraging data-driven approaches and predictive modelling techniques, insights into market dynamics and future trends are explored. The article contains 177866 data the task of performing a market size analysis for the Electric Vehicles sector using Python. Range estimation of the electric vehicle has been conducted using Linear, Random Forest, Ridge, Lasso, and Elastic Net Regression model types. When predicting range, performance metrics such as R-Squared, Adjusted R-Squared, Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Error are used, while Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is utilized for current and estimated EV market size. Based on the findings, the Tesla brand is predominantly preferred. A consistent annual growth rate of 51% has been noted. Random Forest Regression is identified as the premier model for predicting electric vehicle range due to its superior performance metrics, such as a higher R-Squared value and lower mean squared error in comparison to other regression methods.

Turkish Journal of ForecastingVol. 9(1)
Okan University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 36%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
0.42
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