FORECASTING AND DESIGNING IN SECURITY – THEORETICAL ASPECTS (PART I)

Processes coming from outside the realm of cognition have a significant and critical impact on thefunctioning of the state in the turbulent security environment of the 21st century. Consequently, themain aim of the article was to demonstrate in theory the usefulness of forecasting and designingas complementary research procedures in the process of strategic analysis in the field of securityin a changeable, highly complex and unpredictable state environment. The author’s intent is alsoto outline the concept of using designing as a strategic analysis tool in practice in another article.When it comes to state security, the fundamental feature of strategic planning is that throughbuilding strategic plans the future can and should be shaped in a rational and orderly manner.When designing in the field of security, the methodology developed by Wojciech Gasparski bothwith the model IV of the idealising theory of science described by Leszek Nowak can be applied.