Artificial Intelligence in Islamic Finance: Forecasting Stock Indices with Neural Prophet

Ensuring financial system stability is paramount, especially in markets guided by Sharia principles, where investor confidence and adherence to ethical standards play critical roles. The ability to accurately forecast stock movements within this framework not only supports informed investment decisions but also strengthens the overall stability of financial markets. This research employs the innovative Neural Prophet model to predict Islamic stock indices in Indonesia with remarkable accuracy and depth. The model demonstrates its capability not only in accurately forecasting trends but also in detecting subtle fluctuations within three Islamic stock indices: the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), the Jakarta Islamic Index 70 (JII70), and the Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI). Visual representations highlight the model's adaptability and advanced foresight, surpassing traditional models. The significance of this research lies in its potential to enhance the precision of stock index predictions, particularly for Islamic stocks, offering stakeholders deeper insights. The model's effectiveness spans both stable and volatile market conditions, making it a valuable tool for informed financial decision-making. Accurate forecasts aid in risk management and support well-informed investment decisions in fluctuating markets, thereby contributing to financial system stability.