Investigation on the reliability calculation method of gravity dam based on CNN-LSTM and Monte Carlo method

To improve the calculation accuracy of the Monte Carlo (MC) method and reduce the calculation time. Firstly, CNN and LSTM deep learning networks are introduced for designing nonlinear dynamic systems simulating dam stress. Then, spatial feature mining and sequence information extraction of nonlinear data of dam stress are carried out respectively, and a combined prediction model of dam stress depth (DS-FEM-CNN-LSTM) is proposed. Secondly, to solve the problem of a long time and heavy workload for the MC method to calculate a single sample point, the DOE test method is used to design the sample points. The weight factor and the distance to the failure surface are used as screening criteria. The reliability calculation method of the gravity dam (DS-FEM-CNN-LSTM-MC) is established. Finally, numerical results show that the proposed DS-FEM-CNN-LSTM-MC method performs better than the existing methods in terms of computational time consumption and accuracy.