Paid Medical Services from the Standpoint of Econometric Analysis of Medical-Demographic and Socio-Economic Indicators of the Region

Introduction. Studying medical-demographic and socio-economic indicators of various regions is relevant for creating and implementing a well-balanced functional model of private healthcare organizations. The purpose of the study was to conduct an econometric analysis of time series reflecting the dynamics of the main medical, demographic, and socio-economic indicators in the Tymen Region, with a focus on the potential growth of paid medical services sector. Materials and methods. Data from the territorial body of the Federal State Statistics Service, annual industry collections, and territorial executive body of public health were analyzed. The analysis of time series was carried out according to econometric principles using the Dolado and FB_DES procedures of the Perron method. Results and conclusion. Between 2017 and 2023, Tyumen Region experienced consistent social and economic growth, positively impacting main demographic processes. The population increase, along with a relatively stable solvency among the economically active population, contributed to a growth of consumption, including health care services. The share of paid medical services in the total volume of services ranged from 8.0% to 9.8%. Despite changes in the structure and level of participation in the territorial program of state guarantees of medical care, the number of private medical organizations shows a positive linear trend.