"13 Keys to the White House" for Donald Trump: Election Observation

Since 1984, the predictive model for determining the winner of the presidential election, "13 Keys to the White House", developed by A. Lichtman and V. Keilis-Borok, has been successfully used in American political science. Based on this model, the author conducts remote election monitoring and offers his own forecast of the expected outcome of the 2024 presidential elections in the United States. American voters are highly likely to vote for Donald Trump, who was predicted to become the 47th president of the United States. The increasing polarization of the American electorate is considered within the framework of the sociological and economic theory of electoral behavior.