Mechanism-Driven Intelligent Settlement Prediction for Shield Tunneling Through Areas Without Ground Monitoring

Ground settlement is a crucial indicator for assessing the safety of shield tunneling and its impact on the surrounding environment. However, most existing settlement prediction methods are based on historical data, which can only be applied with effective monitoring conditions. To overcome this limitation, this paper proposes the mechanism-driven intelligent settlement prediction method (MISPM), which considers the mechanisms of settlement and attitude movements during construction to design new features that can indirectly reflect settlement. Simulation experiments were used to compare the impact of different candidate features and algorithms on prediction performance, verifying the validity and accuracy of the model. The efficacy of MISPM in predicting settlement changes in advance was substantiated by practical engineering applications. Results showed that MISPM could accurately predict settlement changes even without ground monitoring, thereby corroborating its reliability and applicability in supporting safe tunneling in complex geological environments. In the construction of urban infrastructure, this method has the potential to enhance the efficiency of tunnel construction and ensure environmental safety, which is of great significance for the development of smart cities.