A Markov Chain Monte Carlo determination of Proton PDF uncertainties at NNLO

The current scientific standard in PDF uncertainty estimation relies either on repeated fits over artificially generated data to arrive at Monte Carlo samples of best fits or on the Hessian method, which uses a quadratic expansion of the figure of merit, the $\chi^2$-function. Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods allows one to access the uncertainties of PDFs without making use of quadratic approximations in a statistically sound procedure while at the same time preserving the correspondence between the sample and $\chi^2$-value. Rooted in Bayesian statistics the $\chi^2$-function is repeatedly sampled to obtain a set of PDFs that serves as a representation of the statistical distribution of the PDFs in their function space. After removing the dependence between the samples (the so-called autocorrelation) the set can be used to propagate the uncertainties to physical observables. The final result is an independent procedure to obtain PDF uncertainties that can be confronted by the state-of-the-art in order to ultimately arrive at a better understanding of the proton's structure.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22323/1.469.0054
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Atomic and Subatomic Physics Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.34

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article

A Markov Chain Monte Carlo determination of Proton PDF uncertainties at NNLO

Peter Risse, Tomáš Ježo, A. Kusina, N. Derakhshanian et al.
1 citations
Atomic and Subatomic Physics Research
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article

A Markov Chain Monte Carlo determination of Proton PDF uncertainties at NNLO

Peter Risse, Tomáš Ježo, A. Kusina, N. Derakhshanian, Karol Kovařík
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The current scientific standard in PDF uncertainty estimation relies either on repeated fits over artificially generated data to arrive at Monte Carlo samples of best fits or on the Hessian method, which uses a quadratic expansion of the figure of merit, the $\chi^2$-function. Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods allows one to access the uncertainties of PDFs without making use of quadratic approximations in a statistically sound procedure while at the same time preserving the correspondence between the sample and $\chi^2$-value. Rooted in Bayesian statistics the $\chi^2$-function is repeatedly sampled to obtain a set of PDFs that serves as a representation of the statistical distribution of the PDFs in their function space. After removing the dependence between the samples (the so-called autocorrelation) the set can be used to propagate the uncertainties to physical observables. The final result is an independent procedure to obtain PDF uncertainties that can be confronted by the state-of-the-art in order to ultimately arrive at a better understanding of the proton's structure.

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Narodowe Centrum Nauki, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster
Openalex Percentile: Top 37%
Atomic and Subatomic Physics Research
0.34
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