Operational Evaluation of UAV Swarm Precision Strikes with Agent Based Modeling and Simulation

The evaluation of operational effectiveness for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) swarm precision strike missions is critical in the contemporary unmanned warfare. Nonetheless, current evaluation methods often overlook the emergence and dynamic variability inherent in UAV swarm precision strikes, resulting in suboptimal evaluations. This study introduces an innovative evaluation framework with Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (ABMS) to rectify these deficiencies. In alignment with established warfighting knowledge and principles, we have meticulously crafted the mission scenario and simulation environment to mirror the intricacies of UAV swarm precision strikes. Subsequently, agent models for the UAVs, radar systems, and surface-to-air missile systems have been elaborately constructed, encompassing their behavioral dynamics, functional attributes, and interactive relationships. We then conducted numerous combat simulations and collected relevant data. Finally, based on the extensive simulation data, we have conducted a multi-faceted analysis of operational effectiveness, focusing on such critical factors as maneuverability, firepower, estimation, and communication. The findings of our experimental analyses elucidate the impact of these various factors on the rates of target destruction and UAV attrition, providing a reference for decision-making processes associated with UAV swarm precision strike operations.