Stock Price Prediction in the Financial Market Using Machine Learning Models

This paper presents an analysis of stock price forecasting in the financial market, with an emphasis on approaches based on time series models and deep learning techniques. Fundamental concepts of technical analysis are explored, such as exponential and simple averages, and various global indices are analyzed to be used as inputs for machine learning models, including Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and XGBoost. The results show that while each model possesses distinct characteristics, selecting the most efficient approach heavily depends on the specific data and forecasting objectives. The complexity of advanced models such as XGBoost and GRU is reflected in their overall performance, suggesting that they can be particularly effective at capturing patterns and making accurate predictions in more complex time series, such as stock prices.

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Publication Details

Journal
Computation
Published
2024-12-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/computation13010003
Citations
18
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
8.83
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article

Stock Price Prediction in the Financial Market Using Machine Learning Models

Ramiro S. Barbosa, Diogo Teixeira
18 citations
Computation
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
8.83
article

Stock Price Prediction in the Financial Market Using Machine Learning Models

Ramiro S. Barbosa, Diogo Teixeira
article en
18 citations

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of stock price forecasting in the financial market, with an emphasis on approaches based on time series models and deep learning techniques. Fundamental concepts of technical analysis are explored, such as exponential and simple averages, and various global indices are analyzed to be used as inputs for machine learning models, including Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and XGBoost. The results show that while each model possesses distinct characteristics, selecting the most efficient approach heavily depends on the specific data and forecasting objectives. The complexity of advanced models such as XGBoost and GRU is reflected in their overall performance, suggesting that they can be particularly effective at capturing patterns and making accurate predictions in more complex time series, such as stock prices.

ComputationVol. 13(1)
Polytechnic Institute of Porto (PT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
8.83
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