A methodology based on the fuzzy identification for a hybrid method in times series forecasting models

This work presents a hybrid forecasting method, with concept and improvement through the fuzzy set’s theory coupled with the classic time series method. This study also proposed an identification tool that has not been published in the scientific literature for parametric point identification and estimation within the classical time series methodology combined with fuzzy sets theory, which generated a hybrid identification technique in fuzzy time data. In comparison to the forecasting methods consolidated in the literature, the results presented by the proposed method have been considered fully satisfactory due to the minimal error observed.

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Publication Details

Journal
OBSERVATÓRIO DE LA ECONOMÍA LATINOAMERICANA
Published
2024-12-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.55905/oelv22n12-198
Primary Topic
Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems
Type
article
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article

A methodology based on the fuzzy identification for a hybrid method in times series forecasting models

Sandro Dimy Barbosa Bitar, Carlos Tavares da Costa Júnior, João Caldas do Lago Neto, José Gracildo de Carvalho Júnior
OBSERVATÓRIO DE LA ECONOMÍA LATINOAMERICANA
Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems
article

A methodology based on the fuzzy identification for a hybrid method in times series forecasting models

Sandro Dimy Barbosa Bitar, Carlos Tavares da Costa Júnior, João Caldas do Lago Neto, José Gracildo de Carvalho Júnior
article en

Abstract

This work presents a hybrid forecasting method, with concept and improvement through the fuzzy set’s theory coupled with the classic time series method. This study also proposed an identification tool that has not been published in the scientific literature for parametric point identification and estimation within the classical time series methodology combined with fuzzy sets theory, which generated a hybrid identification technique in fuzzy time data. In comparison to the forecasting methods consolidated in the literature, the results presented by the proposed method have been considered fully satisfactory due to the minimal error observed.

OBSERVATÓRIO DE LA ECONOMÍA LATINOAMERICANAVol. 22(12)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems
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A methodology based on the fuzzy identification for a hybrid method in times series forecasting models — Sandro Dimy Barbosa Bitar, Carlos Tavares da Costa Júnior, et al. · OBSERVATÓRIO DE LA ECONOMÍA LATINOAMERICANA (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS