Capacity Planning Method for Wind–Solar–Thermal-Storage Bundled HVDC Sending System Considering Transient Overvoltage Constraints

High-voltage direct current (HVDC) sending systems have been the main means of renewable power cross-regional sharing and consumption. However, the transient overvoltage problems restrict the transmission capacity and renewable energy accommodation. The allocation of wind–solar–thermal storage capacity has become an important factor affecting the safety and stability of renewable energy sending. A capacity planning method is proposed for a wind–solar–thermal-storage bundled HVDC sending system considering transient overvoltage constraints. Firstly, based on quantile regression analysis and Gaussian mixture modeling, the typical scenario generation method is proposed to depict the uncertainty of renewable energy. Then, the transient overvoltage characteristics of the integrated HVDC transmission system are analyzed. The relationship between the power output of power sources and the system short-circuit capacity is derived. Meanwhile, the calculation method of the minimum short-circuit capacity of the HVDC system is proposed. Based on the calculation method, the transient overvoltage constraint corresponding to the voltage support strength is constructed. Finally, considering the transient overvoltage constraints, the capacity planning model of the wind–solar–thermal storage is established. The upper-layer model optimizes the configuration scheme of the wind–solar–thermal storage to minimize the total system cost. The lower-layer model optimizes the operation scheduling under the typical operation scenarios of renewable energy and delivery load. The optimal capacity planning scheme for the wind–solar–thermal storage is determined through the coordinated optimization of the two-layer model. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified through a case analysis. The results show that the proposed planning method can effectively maintain a higher short-circuit ratio and improve the voltage support strength under the premise of completing the sending plan.