ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE FOREIGN TRADE TURNOVER OF SERVICES OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

The article provides an econometric analysis of the foreign trade turnover of services of the Republic of Belarus. In order to make a forecast, they are created based on quarterly data from 01.01.2018 to 30.09.2024. two time series models. In the first case, linear trend line filtering is used to build models, in the second ― adaptive methods. According to these models, the forecast of the volume of foreign trade turnover of services of the Republic of Belarus in value terms for the 4th quarter of 2024 is made