Wind Energy Prediction on Future Aspect using XGBoost Time Series Model

This research study investigates the potentiality of wind energy in Romania. The wind energy profile for the last 5.5 years has been considered for the statistical analysis by which future aspect can be rendered. The time series model Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) has been taken as a machine learning tool for the analysis of wind energy production. From the data scheme, it is observed that maximum wind energy production is 2811 MW whereas the maximum total production is $\mathbf{9 8 8 6} \mathbf{M W}$. It is easily can be realized that the wind energy production in the future aspect is very important as the share of wind energy plays a vital role in mitigation of the energy crisis. This paper has given a portfolio for the future aspect of wind potentiality using XGBoost model analysis. The minimum RMSE by this prediction model has been recorded as 325.23 for the validation dataset which is prompting the better data prediction analysis.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iceca63461.2024.10801065
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Wind Energy Prediction on Future Aspect using XGBoost Time Series Model

Apurba Kumar Saha, Suman Chowdhury, Dilip Kumar Das
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Wind Energy Prediction on Future Aspect using XGBoost Time Series Model

Apurba Kumar Saha, Suman Chowdhury, Dilip Kumar Das
article en

Abstract

This research study investigates the potentiality of wind energy in Romania. The wind energy profile for the last 5.5 years has been considered for the statistical analysis by which future aspect can be rendered. The time series model Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) has been taken as a machine learning tool for the analysis of wind energy production. From the data scheme, it is observed that maximum wind energy production is 2811 MW whereas the maximum total production is $\mathbf{9 8 8 6} \mathbf{M W}$. It is easily can be realized that the wind energy production in the future aspect is very important as the share of wind energy plays a vital role in mitigation of the energy crisis. This paper has given a portfolio for the future aspect of wind potentiality using XGBoost model analysis. The minimum RMSE by this prediction model has been recorded as 325.23 for the validation dataset which is prompting the better data prediction analysis.

Khulna University of Engineering and Technology (BD), International University of Business Agriculture and Technology (BD)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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