Terrorist Events and Foreign Direct Investment: Outcomes Unveiled by Robust Statistical Models in the Example of Greece

This study examines whether the terrorist attacks impact foreign direct investments to Greece, with as much up-to-date data as possible. In this framework, hypotheses are tested within the framework of relational models through the data between 1970 and 2020. The results show a medium correlation between terrorist attacks and foreign direct investment, which is statistically significant. There is also a slightly higher correlation between terrorist attacks and foreign direct investment as a parameter of gross domestic product, which is statistically significant. Moreover, as the robust regression analysis shows, there is a bidirectional causal relationship between the variables. However, with complete data, there appears to be a causality tendency between variables by increasing foreign direct investment in the short term. At the same time, the results reveal causality from foreign direct investment to terrorist attacks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
Published
2024-12-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18037/ausbd.1517832
Primary Topic
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Terrorist Events and Foreign Direct Investment: Outcomes Unveiled by Robust Statistical Models in the Example of Greece

Serkan YENAL, Mahir Terzi
Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
article

Terrorist Events and Foreign Direct Investment: Outcomes Unveiled by Robust Statistical Models in the Example of Greece

Serkan YENAL, Mahir Terzi
article en

Abstract

This study examines whether the terrorist attacks impact foreign direct investments to Greece, with as much up-to-date data as possible. In this framework, hypotheses are tested within the framework of relational models through the data between 1970 and 2020. The results show a medium correlation between terrorist attacks and foreign direct investment, which is statistically significant. There is also a slightly higher correlation between terrorist attacks and foreign direct investment as a parameter of gross domestic product, which is statistically significant. Moreover, as the robust regression analysis shows, there is a bidirectional causal relationship between the variables. However, with complete data, there appears to be a causality tendency between variables by increasing foreign direct investment in the short term. At the same time, the results reveal causality from foreign direct investment to terrorist attacks.

Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler DergisiVol. 24(4)
Milli Savunma Üniversitesi (TR), Ministry of Culture and Tourism (TR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 61%
Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
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