Persistent humid climate favored the Qin and Western Han Dynasties in China around 2,200 y ago
The Qin and Western Han dynasties (221 BCE to 24 CE) represent an era of societal prosperity in China. However, due to a lack of high-resolution paleoclimate records it is still unclear whether the agricultural boost documented for this period was associated with more favorable climatic conditions. Here, multiparameter analysis of annually resolved tree-ring records and process-based physiological modeling provide evidence of stable and consistently humid climatic conditions during 270 to 77 BCE in northern China. Precipitation in the Asian summer monsoon region during the Qin-Western Han Dynasties was ~18 to 34% higher compared to present-day conditions. In shifting agricultural and pastoral boundaries ~60 to 100 km northwestward, possibility up to 200 km at times, persistently wetter conditions arguably increased food production, contributing to the socioeconomic prosperity around 2,200 y ago. A gradual wetting trend in the western part of arid northwestern China since the 1980s resembles the historical climate analogue, suggesting that similar benefits for regional environmental and agricultural systems may reoccur under current climate change, at least in the near term.
Authors
- Ulf Büntgen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3821-0818)
- Danqing Huang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3112-0617)
- Timothy J. Osborn (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8425-6799)
- Minhui He (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7998-1152)
- Jürg Luterbacher (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8569-0973)
- Bao Yang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5483-7960)
- Stefanie Talento (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0100-5033)
- Achim Bräuning (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3106-4229)
- Jussi Grießinger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6103-2071)
- Vladimir V. Shishov (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8850-6142)
- Chun Qin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3115-2376)
- Nils Chr. Stenseth (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1591-5399)
- Elena Xoplaki (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2745-2467)
- Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0220-3947)
- Jan Esper (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3919-014X)
- Peng Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6855-3395)
- Lea Schneider (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8208-7300)
- Shuyuan Kang
Institutions
- University of East Anglia (GB)
- Stockholm University (SE)
- Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (DE)
- University of Salzburg (AT)
- University of Oslo (NO)
- Swedish Collegium for Advanced Study (SE)
- Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen (DE)
- Masaryk University (CZ)
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (CH)
- V. B. Sochava Institute of Geography (RU)
- Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources (CN)
- Czech Academy of Sciences, Global Change Research Institute (CZ)
- Bolin Centre for Climate Research (SE)
- Siberian Federal University (RU)
- Nanjing University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2024-12-23
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2415294121
- Citations
- 27
- Primary Topic
- Tree-ring climate responses
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 10.16
Funders
- Sight Research UK
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
- Vetenskapsrådet
- University of Tehran
- Marcus och Amalia Wallenbergs minnesfond
- Natural Environment Research Council