Business process overhaul in dairy supply chains: An integrated approach of advanced forecasting and vehicle routing techniques

The study explores improving opportunities of forecasting accuracy from the traditional method through advanced forecasting techniques. This enables companies to optimize inventory management, production planning, and reducing the travelling time thorough vehicle route optimization. The article introduced a holistic framework by deploying advanced demand forecasting techniques i.e., AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Recurrent Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (RNN-LSTM) models, and the Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (VRPTW) approach. The actual milk demand data came from the company and two forecasting models, ARIMA and RNN-LSTM, have been deployed using Python Jupyter notebook and compared them in terms of various precision measures. VRPTW established not only the optimal routes for a fleet of six vehicles but also tactical scheduling which contributes to a streamlined and agile raw milk collection process, ensuring a harmonious and resource-efficient operation. The proposed approach succeeded on dropping about 16% of total travel time and capable of making predictions with approximately 2% increased accuracy than before.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Published
2024-12-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd9403
Primary Topic
Food Supply Chain Traceability
Type
article
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article

Business process overhaul in dairy supply chains: An integrated approach of advanced forecasting and vehicle routing techniques

Golam Sakaline, László Buics, Md. Mahraj Uddin, Sándor Remsei
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Food Supply Chain Traceability
article

Business process overhaul in dairy supply chains: An integrated approach of advanced forecasting and vehicle routing techniques

Golam Sakaline, László Buics, Md. Mahraj Uddin, Sándor Remsei
article en

Abstract

The study explores improving opportunities of forecasting accuracy from the traditional method through advanced forecasting techniques. This enables companies to optimize inventory management, production planning, and reducing the travelling time thorough vehicle route optimization. The article introduced a holistic framework by deploying advanced demand forecasting techniques i.e., AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Recurrent Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (RNN-LSTM) models, and the Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (VRPTW) approach. The actual milk demand data came from the company and two forecasting models, ARIMA and RNN-LSTM, have been deployed using Python Jupyter notebook and compared them in terms of various precision measures. VRPTW established not only the optimal routes for a fleet of six vehicles but also tactical scheduling which contributes to a streamlined and agile raw milk collection process, ensuring a harmonious and resource-efficient operation. The proposed approach succeeded on dropping about 16% of total travel time and capable of making predictions with approximately 2% increased accuracy than before.

Journal of Infrastructure Policy and DevelopmentVol. 8(16)
Shahjalal University of Science and Technology (BD), Széchenyi István University (HU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Food Supply Chain Traceability
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Business process overhaul in dairy supply chains: An integrated approach of advanced forecasting and vehicle routing techniques — Golam Sakaline, László Buics, et al. · Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS