South Korea will see prolonged political uncertainty

Significance However, that decision will need to be upheld by the Constitutional Court (CC). Yoon appears uncooperative amid several concurrent probes into the incident and several senior military figures have been ensnared. While the opposition has pushed through the 2025 budget, electoral fraud allegations and litigation have deepened uncertainty around future prospects. Impacts Whether and how three vacancies among nine CC justices can legally be filled will be one of many contentious variables in play. Yoon’s steadfast defiance against insurrection allegations threatens to exacerbate political polarisation, rather than restoring stability. Yoon will continue trying to delegitimise the DPK, including by claiming fraud in April’s assembly elections. Although the DPK are strong favourites in any presidential contest, a split in either the left or right vote could throw the race wide open. Political uncertainties will continue well into 2025, inevitably impacting policy and the wider economy.