Informer_Casual_LSTM: Causal Characteristics and Non-Stationary Time Series Prediction

Many existing forecasting models tend to work well when forecasting short-sequence time series. However, when working with long sequence time series, the performance suff ers significantly. Recently, there has been more intense research in this direction, and Informer is currently the most efficient predicting model. Informer's main drawback is that it does not allow for incremental learning. This paper proposes an improved multi-scenario time series forecasting model-Informer CasualConv_GRU, which captures causal relationships at different time scales through multi-scale causal convolution and gated recurrent units (GRU) to address strong nonlinearity and high noise in the data. Validation on datasets from the energy and financial sectors shows that the proposed model performs excellently in short-term and mid-term forecasting.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-10-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/mlnlp63328.2024.10800525
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.05
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article

Informer_Casual_LSTM: Causal Characteristics and Non-Stationary Time Series Prediction

Yilin Dong, Yuxia Yang
3 citations
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
1.05
article

Informer_Casual_LSTM: Causal Characteristics and Non-Stationary Time Series Prediction

Yilin Dong, Yuxia Yang
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Many existing forecasting models tend to work well when forecasting short-sequence time series. However, when working with long sequence time series, the performance suff ers significantly. Recently, there has been more intense research in this direction, and Informer is currently the most efficient predicting model. Informer's main drawback is that it does not allow for incremental learning. This paper proposes an improved multi-scenario time series forecasting model-Informer CasualConv_GRU, which captures causal relationships at different time scales through multi-scale causal convolution and gated recurrent units (GRU) to address strong nonlinearity and high noise in the data. Validation on datasets from the energy and financial sectors shows that the proposed model performs excellently in short-term and mid-term forecasting.

Shanghai Maritime University (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
1.05
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