Short-term inbound passenger flow prediction for urban rail transit by integrating spatiotemporal features

Accurate subway passenger flow prediction is crucial for intelligent transportation systems to manage traffic, optimize operations, and plan infrastructure. Since passenger flow is affected by factors like station location and date type, further research on short-term high-frequency prediction is needed. This paper proposes a method combining Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) for spatial dependencies and Informer models for long-term temporal dependencies to capture spatiotemporal relationships. By fusing these features in a fully connected layer, the approach achieves precise passenger flow forecasts. Experiments on Hangzhou Metro Line 1 show that this method is robust and accurate.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3054620
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.27
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article

Short-term inbound passenger flow prediction for urban rail transit by integrating spatiotemporal features

Jing Zuo, Ming He
1 citations
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
0.27
article

Short-term inbound passenger flow prediction for urban rail transit by integrating spatiotemporal features

Jing Zuo, Ming He
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Accurate subway passenger flow prediction is crucial for intelligent transportation systems to manage traffic, optimize operations, and plan infrastructure. Since passenger flow is affected by factors like station location and date type, further research on short-term high-frequency prediction is needed. This paper proposes a method combining Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) for spatial dependencies and Informer models for long-term temporal dependencies to capture spatiotemporal relationships. By fusing these features in a fully connected layer, the approach achieves precise passenger flow forecasts. Experiments on Hangzhou Metro Line 1 show that this method is robust and accurate.

Lanzhou Jiaotong University (CN)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 40%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
0.27
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