МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ СРЕДЫ ОБИТАНИЯ HARMONIA AXYRIDIS (PALLAS, 1773) (COCCINELLIDAE) НА ТЕРРИТОРИИ РЕСПУБЛИКИ МОЛДОВА МЕТОДОМ МАКСИМАЛЬНОЙ ЭНТРОПИИ MAXENT

The aim of the study was to identify species potential distribution models (SDM) for invasive Asian ladybug (Harmonia axyridis) using the Maxent maximum entropy method. Bioclimatic predictors based on data from the State Hydrometeorological Service for 1991-2020, species observation data (gbif.org, inaturalist.org), and a list of limiting factors of the species (cabi.org) were used. ArcGIS 10.2 and Maxent 3.3.3k were used for data processing. A good spatial model of the species distribution was obtained (AUC = 0.881), consistent with a random test points used as control group. The most potentially affected regions of the republic were identified.