Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size

Immigration will be the key factor determining whether populations in the developed world increase or decrease over the coming century. New policy-based population projections illustrate this for the United States. Expansive immigration policies could increase the US population by hundreds of millions by 2100, while more restrictive policies could lead to population stabilisation or significant reductions. For the US, there is no plausible high-immigration path to a sustainable population. Because larger populations increase human environmental impacts, sustainability advocates in the US and other countries with high net immigration levels have strong prima facie reasons to support immigration reductions. Such reductions could achieve smaller populations in receiver countries and encourage smaller populations in sender countries, contributing to global ecological sustainability.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of Population and Sustainability
Published
2024-12-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3197/jps.63799977346498
Primary Topic
Migration and Labor Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size

Philip Cafaro
The Journal of Population and Sustainability
Migration and Labor Dynamics
article

Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size

Philip Cafaro
article en

Abstract

Immigration will be the key factor determining whether populations in the developed world increase or decrease over the coming century. New policy-based population projections illustrate this for the United States. Expansive immigration policies could increase the US population by hundreds of millions by 2100, while more restrictive policies could lead to population stabilisation or significant reductions. For the US, there is no plausible high-immigration path to a sustainable population. Because larger populations increase human environmental impacts, sustainability advocates in the US and other countries with high net immigration levels have strong prima facie reasons to support immigration reductions. Such reductions could achieve smaller populations in receiver countries and encourage smaller populations in sender countries, contributing to global ecological sustainability.

The Journal of Population and Sustainability
Colorado State University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Migration and Labor Dynamics
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Impact of Immigration Policy on future US population size — Philip Cafaro · The Journal of Population and Sustainability (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS