Arthritis and Public Health Monitoring: Longitudinal Changes of Triglyceride-Glucose Index Associated with Arthritis in a Cohort of Older Chinese Adults

The current decade 2021-2030 was designated by the United Nations as the decade of healthy aging, which underlines the need for public health innovation for arthritis clinical care. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a novel and emerging parameter closely associated with diabetes and cardiovascular diseases and has been suggested to indicate the risk of arthritis. This study examined the longitudinal changes of TyG levels in relation to arthritis among a nationwide cohort of older Chinese adults. We recruited 1257 participants from a national cohort of older Chinese adults, the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. On the basis of the longitudinal changes in TyG between 2012 and 2014, we performed a k-means clustering analysis to classify the participants into four TyG groups: Class 1 with moderate and stable levels of TyG; Class 2 with low but rising level of TyG; Class 3 with consistently high TyG; and Class 4 with high and TyG-level rise compared with the baseline. After a 2-year follow-up, logistic regression was used to identify the association between TyG and the onset of arthritis. Compared with individuals in Class 1, those in Class 3 and Class 4 experienced a higher risk of arthritis, with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.823 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.113-7.160) and 2.848 (95% CI: 1.299-6.246), respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study exploring the association between dynamic longitudinal changes in TyG and arthritis. Further studies on world populations are called for.