A Study of the Quantitative Impact of Different Credit Policies on Real Estate Price Volatility in the Housing Finance Market

Real estate industry is an important industry of national economy in any country, which constitutes an important element of the wealth of the whole society and has a stable and long-term impact on national economy and social development. Based on the price theory of supply-demand equilibrium and the theory of real estate cycle fluctuation, the article combines the stock-flow model and vector autoregression model of real estate price to establish a quantitative analysis PVAR model of credit policy on real estate price fluctuation. Data from 31 provincial regions in China from 1998 to 2023 are selected as the research samples, and the specific effects of different credit policies on real estate price volatility in the housing finance market are verified through empirical analysis. When the scale of credit policy expands by 1 percentage point, real estate prices will increase by 0.00611 percentage points, while credit interest rates have a positive impact on real estate price volatility for 6 to 7 periods, and then change to a negative impact. Different regions under the credit policy on real estate price volatility there are differences, and the faster the growth rate of real estate prices in the region credit policy on real estate prices to promote the role of the more obvious. Real estate price regulation needs to accurately combine regional and economic development, so as to optimize the credit policy of the housing finance market, and then ensure the stability of real estate prices.