Risks of health consequences of terrorist activity in Russia in 2011–2020

The indicators of the medical and sanitary consequences of terrorist acts in Russia are presented, indexed in the Global Terrorism Database by employees of the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Response Measures, the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia and the Ministry of Health of Russia from 2011 to 2020. Individual risks of being exposed to terrorist acts, dying or being struck per 1 million people are calculated (10–6) of the Russian population. The average data and medians with upper and lower quartiles are presented. Compared with the global risks of terrorist activity in Russia, according to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Measures to Respond to it, the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia and the Ministry of Health of Russia belong to the category of “optimal”. At the same time, the polynomial trends of the analyzed risks at very high coefficients of determination demonstrate a clear decrease in data. The main purpose of terrorism is to destabilize the activities of government agencies and public organizations, to intimidate people, and not the health consequences. However, using the data of risk indicators for counter-terrorism measures, including for counter-terrorism medicine, it can be minimized. It is necessary to carry out more extensive interstate interaction between employees who take into account terrorist acts and their social, biomedical and economic consequences in Russia, with employees of the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Measures to Respond to it and other international organizations. Objective accounting of indicators of terrorist activity makes it possible to identify temporal and spatial patterns, vulnerable groups and objects, as well as ways and means of attacks. This helps to develop targeted preventive measures and strategies to counter terrorist activity aimed at eliminating the identified causes and reducing the risk of terrorist acts.