Changes in streamflow seasonality associated with hydroclimatic variability in the north-central United States among three discrete temporal periods, 1946–2020

North-central United States This study uses circular statistics to characterize the seasonal properties of annual maximum (AMS) and peaks-over-threshold (POT) streamflow time series for 841 and 623 selected U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamgages, respectively, without regulation or substantial diversion among common 75-, 50-, and 30-year trend periods through water year 2020 (the period from October 1, 2019, through September 30, 2020). A subset of AMS time series with detected change points (abrupt changes) in the median and (or) scale are analyzed on either side of the change point to evaluate changes in their circular statistics. In the 50-year trend period, five regions share common mean flood timing in the AMS and POT partial duration series. Changes from asymmetric distributions to reflective symmetric distributions are detected particularly among the 50- and 30-year trend periods in the northernmost States of Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. For the subset of streamgages with abrupt change points in the AMS, regional patterns of changes in seasonality are detected between the period of records before and after the change point. These findings can inform decisions related to the AMS used for flood frequency and potential mixed population analyses and flood control operations that may be affected by changes in when seasonal events occur, how long seasonal events last, and the long-term variability in the intensity and frequency of seasonal events. • Circular statistics are used to evaluate changes in seasonality in north-central United States. • Temporal changes in seasonality are evaluated among three long-term trend periods. • Changes in seasonality are examined for annual peak-flow records with change points.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies
Published
2024-12-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102084
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.40
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article

Changes in streamflow seasonality associated with hydroclimatic variability in the north-central United States among three discrete temporal periods, 1946–2020

Nancy A. Barth, Steven K. Sando, Harper N. Wavra, Anthony R. Koebele
2 citations
Journal of Hydrology Regional Studies
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
0.40
article

Changes in streamflow seasonality associated with hydroclimatic variability in the north-central United States among three discrete temporal periods, 1946–2020

Nancy A. Barth, Steven K. Sando, Harper N. Wavra, Anthony R. Koebele
article en
2 citations

Abstract

North-central United States This study uses circular statistics to characterize the seasonal properties of annual maximum (AMS) and peaks-over-threshold (POT) streamflow time series for 841 and 623 selected U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamgages, respectively, without regulation or substantial diversion among common 75-, 50-, and 30-year trend periods through water year 2020 (the period from October 1, 2019, through September 30, 2020). A subset of AMS time series with detected change points (abrupt changes) in the median and (or) scale are analyzed on either side of the change point to evaluate changes in their circular statistics. In the 50-year trend period, five regions share common mean flood timing in the AMS and POT partial duration series. Changes from asymmetric distributions to reflective symmetric distributions are detected particularly among the 50- and 30-year trend periods in the northernmost States of Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin. For the subset of streamgages with abrupt change points in the AMS, regional patterns of changes in seasonality are detected between the period of records before and after the change point. These findings can inform decisions related to the AMS used for flood frequency and potential mixed population analyses and flood control operations that may be affected by changes in when seasonal events occur, how long seasonal events last, and the long-term variability in the intensity and frequency of seasonal events. • Circular statistics are used to evaluate changes in seasonality in north-central United States. • Temporal changes in seasonality are evaluated among three long-term trend periods. • Changes in seasonality are examined for annual peak-flow records with change points.

Journal of Hydrology Regional StudiesVol. 57
United States Geological Survey (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 37%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
0.40
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