The contribution of econometric modelling to the analysis of energy transition policy in Algeria: the case of the road transport sector

In Algeria, the use of econometric modelling to study the energy transition is particularly relevant. It offers a rigorous and quantitative approach to analyzing developments in the energy sector and the impacts of public policies. In our work, we will apply the ARDL model on a database collected from NAFTAL to understand the energy transition policy in Algeria, particularly in the road sector. The findings show that, in the short term, consumption of LPG/C depends positively on its past value, average oil prices, and GDP and negatively influenced by gasoline prices. However, there is always a positive relationship between LPG/C consumption and the average gasoline price in the long term; despite the variables, diesel fuel and gasoline prices have a negative impact on LPG/C consumption.