VULNERABILITY OF FORESTS TO THE CLIMATIC RISK OF AN INCREASE IN THE FREQUENCY OF OUTBREAKS OF MASS REPRODUCTION OF HARMFUL ORGANISMS IN FORESTS

Climate change can have a negative impact on forest plantations. The article considers the vulnerability of forests to the climatic risk of an increase in the frequency of outbreaks of mass reproduction of harmful organisms in forests. The vulnerability of forests was calculated using a normalized vulnerability index in the context of the subjects of the Russian Federation. A retrospective assessment was carried out based on statistical data on the areas of foci of harmful organisms and a forecast assessment based on data on changes in the Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient for the period of the 2050s and 2090s. Cartographic materials on the differentiation of the subjects of the Russian Federation by the level of vulnerability to the considered risk are presented.