The impact of government external debt on labor demand in Indonesia: A VECM approach through the exchange rate channel

considering the rate of the currency channel, this study aims to analyze the effect of government foreign debt on labour demand in Indonesia. The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is used to quantify the exchange rate, while estimates of the labour force participation rate characterize labour demand. this study expands upon the cobb-Douglass production function by including public debt as an integral element of the statistical model. The current study examines time series data from 1994 to 2022 and uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for estimation. in conclusion, the results suggest that an increase in government external debt would result in a decline in labour demand, especially during economic shock associated with an expansion of the government deficit. Moreover, the Real Effective Exchange Rate has a beneficial long-term impact on labour demand. enhancing the purchasing power and stimulating investment through the appreciation of the domestic currency against foreign currencies will consequently increase economic productivity.

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Journal
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Published
2024-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd9132
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The impact of government external debt on labor demand in Indonesia: A VECM approach through the exchange rate channel

Mirzalina Zainal, Retno Fitrianti, Mayanggita Kirana, Fatmawati Fatmawati et al.
Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
article

The impact of government external debt on labor demand in Indonesia: A VECM approach through the exchange rate channel

Mirzalina Zainal, Retno Fitrianti, Mayanggita Kirana, Fatmawati Fatmawati, Omer Mohamed Taha Alkanan
article en

Abstract

considering the rate of the currency channel, this study aims to analyze the effect of government foreign debt on labour demand in Indonesia. The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is used to quantify the exchange rate, while estimates of the labour force participation rate characterize labour demand. this study expands upon the cobb-Douglass production function by including public debt as an integral element of the statistical model. The current study examines time series data from 1994 to 2022 and uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for estimation. in conclusion, the results suggest that an increase in government external debt would result in a decline in labour demand, especially during economic shock associated with an expansion of the government deficit. Moreover, the Real Effective Exchange Rate has a beneficial long-term impact on labour demand. enhancing the purchasing power and stimulating investment through the appreciation of the domestic currency against foreign currencies will consequently increase economic productivity.

Journal of Infrastructure Policy and DevelopmentVol. 8(15)
Diponegoro University (ID), Hasanuddin University (ID)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
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