Catchment Attributes Influencing Performance of Global Streamflow Reanalysis

Performance plays a critical role in the practical use of global streamflow reanalysis. This paper presents the combined use of random forest and the Shapley additive explanation to examine the mechanism by which catchment attributes influence the accuracy of streamflow estimates in reanalysis products. In particular, the reanalysis generated by the Global Flood Awareness System streamflow is validated by streamflow observations provided by the Catchment Attributes and MEteorology for Large-sample Studies dataset. Results highlight that with regard to the Kling–Gupta efficiency, the reanalysis surpasses mean flow benchmarks in 93% of catchments across the continental United States. In addition, twelve catchment attributes are identified as major controlling factors with spatial patterns categorized into five clusters. Topographic characteristics and climatic indices are also observed to exhibit pronounced influences. Streamflow reanalysis performs better in catchments with low precipitation seasonality and steep slopes or in wet catchments with a low frequency of precipitation events. The partial dependence plot slopes of most key attributes are consistent across the four seasons but the slopes’ magnitudes vary. Seasonal snow exhibits positive effects during snow melting from March to August and negative effects associated with snowpack accumulation from September to February. Catchments with very low precipitation seasonality (values less than −1) show strong seasonal variation in streamflow estimations, with negative effects from June to November and positive effects from December to May. Overall, this paper provides useful information for applications of global streamflow reanalysis and lays the groundwork for further research into understanding the seasonal effects of catchment attributes.