Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50

This study evaluates machine learning models for stock market prediction in the European stock market EU50, with emphasis on the integration of key technical indicators. Advanced techniques, such as ANNs, CNNs and LSTMs, are applied to analyze a large EU50 dataset. Key indicators, such as the simple moving average (SMA), exponential moving average (EMA), moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), stochastic oscillator, relative strength index (RSI) and accumulation/distribution (A/D), were employed to improve the model’s responsiveness to market trends and momentum shifts. The results show that CNN models can effectively capture localized price patterns, while LSTM models excel in identifying long-term dependencies, which is beneficial for understanding market volatility. ANN models provide reliable benchmark predictions. Among the models, CNN with RSI obtained the best results, with an RMSE of 0.0263, an MAE of 0.0186 and an R2 of 0.9825, demonstrating high accuracy in price prediction. The integration of indicators such as SMA and EMA improves trend detection, while MACD and RSI increase the sensitivity to momentum, which is essential for identifying buy and sell signals. This research demonstrates the potential of machine learning models for refined stock prediction and informs data-driven investment strategies, with CNN and LSTM models being particularly well suited for dynamic price prediction.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2024-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math12243918
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Developments in Russia
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.21

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article

Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50

Javier Parra-Domínguez, Laura Sanz-Martín
3 citations
Mathematics
Economic and Technological Developments in Russia
4.21
article

Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50

Javier Parra-Domínguez, Laura Sanz-Martín
article en
3 citations

Abstract

This study evaluates machine learning models for stock market prediction in the European stock market EU50, with emphasis on the integration of key technical indicators. Advanced techniques, such as ANNs, CNNs and LSTMs, are applied to analyze a large EU50 dataset. Key indicators, such as the simple moving average (SMA), exponential moving average (EMA), moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), stochastic oscillator, relative strength index (RSI) and accumulation/distribution (A/D), were employed to improve the model’s responsiveness to market trends and momentum shifts. The results show that CNN models can effectively capture localized price patterns, while LSTM models excel in identifying long-term dependencies, which is beneficial for understanding market volatility. ANN models provide reliable benchmark predictions. Among the models, CNN with RSI obtained the best results, with an RMSE of 0.0263, an MAE of 0.0186 and an R2 of 0.9825, demonstrating high accuracy in price prediction. The integration of indicators such as SMA and EMA improves trend detection, while MACD and RSI increase the sensitivity to momentum, which is essential for identifying buy and sell signals. This research demonstrates the potential of machine learning models for refined stock prediction and informs data-driven investment strategies, with CNN and LSTM models being particularly well suited for dynamic price prediction.

MathematicsVol. 12(24)
Universidad de Salamanca (ES)
European Commission
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Economic and Technological Developments in Russia
4.21
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Artificial Intelligence in the New Era of Decision-Making: A Case Study of the Euro Stoxx 50 — Javier Parra-Domínguez, Laura Sanz-Martín · Mathematics (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS