Ultra-Short-Term Mooring Forces Forecasting for Floating Wind Turbines With Response-Frequency-Informed Deep Learning and On-Site Data

Abstract Accurate dynamic response forecasting is crucial for the operational monitoring, maintenance, and dynamic control of floating wind turbines (FWT). In this study, an ultra-short-term forecasting model of mooring line tension for a full-size FWT is developed by combining a long short-term memory (LSTM) encoder–decoder network with frequency decomposition (FD), i.e., the LSTM-FD method. After presenting the principles of the LSTM-FD-based ultra-short-term forecasting model, full-scaled measurement data from the Hywind Scotland wind farm are used to validate and demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed model. The result shows that the LSTM-FD method has good consistency between different datasets, and higher accuracy than the LSTM without frequency decomposition. For instance, achieving a 10% enhancement in the accuracy of maximum forecasting for line 1 bridle 1 over a 60-s horizon. More importantly, compared to traditional methods, LSTM-FD improves accuracy by using frequency decomposition to better capture changes in mooring forces of FWT across different frequency ranges. In summary, the proposed method can facilitate more precise and timely maintenance scheduling, reduce operational costs, and enhance the overall safety of FWT operations by mitigating the risk of mooring line failures.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering
Published
2024-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4067395
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Ultra-Short-Term Mooring Forces Forecasting for Floating Wind Turbines With Response-Frequency-Informed Deep Learning and On-Site Data

Zhengshun Cheng, Gareth Erfort, Peng Chen, Zhiqiang Hu et al.
Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Ultra-Short-Term Mooring Forces Forecasting for Floating Wind Turbines With Response-Frequency-Informed Deep Learning and On-Site Data

Zhengshun Cheng, Gareth Erfort, Peng Chen, Zhiqiang Hu, Longzhi Yang, Lei Liu, Yirou Kang
article en

Abstract

Abstract Accurate dynamic response forecasting is crucial for the operational monitoring, maintenance, and dynamic control of floating wind turbines (FWT). In this study, an ultra-short-term forecasting model of mooring line tension for a full-size FWT is developed by combining a long short-term memory (LSTM) encoder–decoder network with frequency decomposition (FD), i.e., the LSTM-FD method. After presenting the principles of the LSTM-FD-based ultra-short-term forecasting model, full-scaled measurement data from the Hywind Scotland wind farm are used to validate and demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed model. The result shows that the LSTM-FD method has good consistency between different datasets, and higher accuracy than the LSTM without frequency decomposition. For instance, achieving a 10% enhancement in the accuracy of maximum forecasting for line 1 bridle 1 over a 60-s horizon. More importantly, compared to traditional methods, LSTM-FD improves accuracy by using frequency decomposition to better capture changes in mooring forces of FWT across different frequency ranges. In summary, the proposed method can facilitate more precise and timely maintenance scheduling, reduce operational costs, and enhance the overall safety of FWT operations by mitigating the risk of mooring line failures.

Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic EngineeringVol. 147(5)
Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Stellenbosch University (ZA), Northumbria University (GB), State Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Shanghai Ocean University (CN), University of Newcastle Australia (AU), Newcastle University (GB)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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