DCCN-Informer: An Attention-Based Long Time Series Prediction Method for Power Load

Accurate and scientific power load forecasting is a prerequisite for the scientific formulation of scheduling programs and power generation plans, and power load forecasting over a long time series is a new demand to cope with more complex situations in modern power development. Power load forecasting analyzes the load value at a certain moment and the factors affecting the load change by building a model to derive the operation of the system in the future period. However, traditional power load forecasting methods cannot handle unstructured data and have low forecasting accuracy. In response to the above problems, applying deep learning techniques to power load forecasting has become a research hotspot in the academic community. However, most deep learning-based power load forecasting models are prone to errors and accumulation and information loss in long-time series power load forecasting, which makes it difficult for the models to capture the long-range laws in power load data and long-time series power load forecasting suffers from the problems of large computation resource overhead and low training efficiency. Therefore, this paper proposes an improved DCCN-Informer long-time series prediction model based on Informer. Using two parallel DCCN modules to ensure the causality of the before-and-after temporal relationship, the time series data features of different scales are extracted, and the residual network is added to increase the ability to extract local information and reduce data loss. The experimental results show that DCCN-Informer has better prediction ability and lower error.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-08-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/besc64747.2024.10780773
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

DCCN-Informer: An Attention-Based Long Time Series Prediction Method for Power Load

Haizhou Du, Xianli Lv, Rui Zhang
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

DCCN-Informer: An Attention-Based Long Time Series Prediction Method for Power Load

Haizhou Du, Xianli Lv, Rui Zhang
article en

Abstract

Accurate and scientific power load forecasting is a prerequisite for the scientific formulation of scheduling programs and power generation plans, and power load forecasting over a long time series is a new demand to cope with more complex situations in modern power development. Power load forecasting analyzes the load value at a certain moment and the factors affecting the load change by building a model to derive the operation of the system in the future period. However, traditional power load forecasting methods cannot handle unstructured data and have low forecasting accuracy. In response to the above problems, applying deep learning techniques to power load forecasting has become a research hotspot in the academic community. However, most deep learning-based power load forecasting models are prone to errors and accumulation and information loss in long-time series power load forecasting, which makes it difficult for the models to capture the long-range laws in power load data and long-time series power load forecasting suffers from the problems of large computation resource overhead and low training efficiency. Therefore, this paper proposes an improved DCCN-Informer long-time series prediction model based on Informer. Using two parallel DCCN modules to ensure the causality of the before-and-after temporal relationship, the time series data features of different scales are extracted, and the residual network is added to increase the ability to extract local information and reduce data loss. The experimental results show that DCCN-Informer has better prediction ability and lower error.

Shanghai University of Electric Power (CN), Oil and Gas Center (CN)
Affordable and clean energy, Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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