Construction and Application of Combination Prediction Model for Tunnel Surrounding Rock Deformation

In the construction of tunnel engineering, the stability of surrounding rock deformation is closely linked with the safety of tunnel engineering. Therefore, to better predict the deformation of tunnel surrounding rock during the construction period, this paper combines the existing gray prediction model and time series model in a nonlinear way, constructs a gray time series combination model, and applies the combination model to the actual tunnel engineering monitoring data to test the effectiveness of its deformation prediction. The results show that the combined model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy compared with a single model, thus realizing better deformation prediction.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784485484.341
Primary Topic
Geoscience and Mining Technology
Type
article
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Construction and Application of Combination Prediction Model for Tunnel Surrounding Rock Deformation

Dong Xiang, Ting Peng, Peng Wu, Yincai Cai et al.
Geoscience and Mining Technology
article

Construction and Application of Combination Prediction Model for Tunnel Surrounding Rock Deformation

Dong Xiang, Ting Peng, Peng Wu, Yincai Cai, Jun Li
article en

Abstract

In the construction of tunnel engineering, the stability of surrounding rock deformation is closely linked with the safety of tunnel engineering. Therefore, to better predict the deformation of tunnel surrounding rock during the construction period, this paper combines the existing gray prediction model and time series model in a nonlinear way, constructs a gray time series combination model, and applies the combination model to the actual tunnel engineering monitoring data to test the effectiveness of its deformation prediction. The results show that the combined model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy compared with a single model, thus realizing better deformation prediction.

Chang'an University (CN)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Geoscience and Mining Technology
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