Research on flood risk prediction of substation based on Temporal Fusion Transformer

The flood disaster caused by extreme weather seriously affects the safety and stability of substations, and flood risk prediction is the key to ensure the reliability of power supply. Flooding in substations is affected by many factors, which involve dynamic and static features, making its accurate prediction challenging. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a substation flood risk prediction model based on Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT). Different modules are used for feature importance analysis, static covariate feature extraction, and temporal feature mining of risk sequences. The results of experiments and case studies demonstrate that this model is superior to the current mainstream time series prediction models, and can be used for multi-risk scenarios analysis, thereby providing auxiliary decision support for flood prevention efforts.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-09-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icepg63230.2024.10775679
Primary Topic
Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
Type
article
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Research on flood risk prediction of substation based on Temporal Fusion Transformer

Yun Teh S. Liang, Wei Huang, Yaxi Yang, Zhe Li et al.
Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
article

Research on flood risk prediction of substation based on Temporal Fusion Transformer

Yun Teh S. Liang, Wei Huang, Yaxi Yang, Zhe Li, Jinyu Wang, Jing Ke, Ying Shi
article en

Abstract

The flood disaster caused by extreme weather seriously affects the safety and stability of substations, and flood risk prediction is the key to ensure the reliability of power supply. Flooding in substations is affected by many factors, which involve dynamic and static features, making its accurate prediction challenging. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a substation flood risk prediction model based on Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT). Different modules are used for feature importance analysis, static covariate feature extraction, and temporal feature mining of risk sequences. The results of experiments and case studies demonstrate that this model is superior to the current mainstream time series prediction models, and can be used for multi-risk scenarios analysis, thereby providing auxiliary decision support for flood prevention efforts.

Wuhan University of Technology (CN), Inner Mongolia Electric Power (China) (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications
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Research on flood risk prediction of substation based on Temporal Fusion Transformer — Yun Teh S. Liang, Wei Huang, et al. · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS