Towards intermediate complexity modelling of contrail formation: the new dynamical framework RadMod

Abstract Contrails are a major contributor to the climate effect of aviation. Mitigation efforts and technological improvements aim to reduce the contrail climate effect. Many currently discussed innovations (like using sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) or hydrogen) affect the physical processes and phenomena during contrail formation. Hence, understanding and analysing contrail formation is of great importance in the context of climate research. Ice crystal formation in a nascent contrail is completed within the first seconds after the engine exhaust is emitted. In the past, numerical models treating this early stage typically involved either a 3D or 0D approach. Whereas 3D models are computationally expensive, restricting the number of simulations that could be performed, less expensive 0D models allow to explore a larger parameter space but neglect plume heterogeneity and use a prescribed plume dilution. We present the new dynamical framework RadMod for contrail formation simulations that describes the evolution of a turbulent round jet emitted from an aircraft engine. Relative to large-eddy simulation (LES) or Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) 3D models of contrail formation, our model is computationally less expensive, enabling extensive parameter studies. The model accounts for the mixing of the hot and moist exhaust air with the cold ambient air through the solution of the two-dimensional advection-diffusion equation of momentum, temperature, and water vapour. The validation of our model is conducted through comparisons with empirical relationships and CFD results. In the near future, this model will be combined with an existing microphysical model, resulting in a contrail formation model of intermediate complexity.