Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on Colombian exports using time series models

The objective of this article is to show the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on Colombia's exports between 2008 and 2020, based on a time series projection analysis. For this purpose, the statistical models of exponential smoothing were estimated, obtaining as a result adjusted values and forecasts to calculate the error difference indicator between these and the real one for each model as a response variable for a multiple regression model whose results indicated differentiated short-term impacts of decrease in exports mainly in textile products, toys, furniture, leather and footwear.