Geopolitical risks and cryptocurrency returns

Abstract This study examines how global geopolitical risks , threats , and acts impact the daily returns of 10 major cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, USDT, XRP, BNB, USDC, BCH, DOGE, LTC, and ADA). The statistically significant results that are robust to the consideration of alternative model specifications and control variables suggest that there is strong evidence for (i) ETH, XRP, BNB and BCH responding negatively to the shocks of geopolitical risks , (ii) BTC, ETH, BNB, BCH, LTC and ADA responding negatively to the shocks of geopolitical threats , and (iii) all 10 cryptocurrencies not responding to the shocks of geopolitical acts . As these 10 cryptocurrencies do not respond positively to any of the three shocks in a robust and statistically significant way either, it is implied that none of them offer a reliable hedge against geopolitical risks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Review of Financial Economics
Published
2024-12-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/rfe.1223
Citations
14
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
15.81
Controls
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article

Geopolitical risks and cryptocurrency returns

Hakan Yilmazkuday
14 citations
Review of Financial Economics
Market Dynamics and Volatility
15.81
article

Geopolitical risks and cryptocurrency returns

Hakan Yilmazkuday
article en
14 citations

Abstract

Abstract This study examines how global geopolitical risks , threats , and acts impact the daily returns of 10 major cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, USDT, XRP, BNB, USDC, BCH, DOGE, LTC, and ADA). The statistically significant results that are robust to the consideration of alternative model specifications and control variables suggest that there is strong evidence for (i) ETH, XRP, BNB and BCH responding negatively to the shocks of geopolitical risks , (ii) BTC, ETH, BNB, BCH, LTC and ADA responding negatively to the shocks of geopolitical threats , and (iii) all 10 cryptocurrencies not responding to the shocks of geopolitical acts . As these 10 cryptocurrencies do not respond positively to any of the three shocks in a robust and statistically significant way either, it is implied that none of them offer a reliable hedge against geopolitical risks.

Review of Financial EconomicsVol. 43(2)
Florida International University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
15.81
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