Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Virtual Power Plants Based on the Fusion of Improved K-Means Cluster Analysis and Deep Learning
Virtual power plants (VPPs) have emerged as an innovative solution for modern power systems, particularly for integrating renewable energy sources. This study proposes a novel prediction approach combining improved K-means clustering with Time Convolutional Networks (TCNs), a Bi-directional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), and an attention mechanism to enhance the forecasting accuracy of wind and photovoltaic power generation in VPPs. The proposed TCN-BiGRU-Attention model demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to traditional models, achieving high accuracy and robustness. These results provide a reliable basis for optimizing VPP operations and integrating renewable energy sources effectively.
Authors
- Ye Tian (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3428-1889)
- Yanhong Luo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6898-7903)
- Hengyu Liu
- Taiyu Gu
- Zhichao Qiu
Institutions
- Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
- Northeastern University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Sustainability
- Published
- 2024-12-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/su162310740
- Citations
- 8
- Primary Topic
- Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.67
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities