Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Virtual Power Plants Based on the Fusion of Improved K-Means Cluster Analysis and Deep Learning

Virtual power plants (VPPs) have emerged as an innovative solution for modern power systems, particularly for integrating renewable energy sources. This study proposes a novel prediction approach combining improved K-means clustering with Time Convolutional Networks (TCNs), a Bi-directional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), and an attention mechanism to enhance the forecasting accuracy of wind and photovoltaic power generation in VPPs. The proposed TCN-BiGRU-Attention model demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to traditional models, achieving high accuracy and robustness. These results provide a reliable basis for optimizing VPP operations and integrating renewable energy sources effectively.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainability
Published
2024-12-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/su162310740
Citations
8
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.67

Funders

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article

Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Virtual Power Plants Based on the Fusion of Improved K-Means Cluster Analysis and Deep Learning

Ye Tian, Yanhong Luo, Hengyu Liu, Taiyu Gu et al.
8 citations
Sustainability
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.67
article

Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Virtual Power Plants Based on the Fusion of Improved K-Means Cluster Analysis and Deep Learning

Ye Tian, Yanhong Luo, Hengyu Liu, Taiyu Gu, Zhichao Qiu
article en
8 citations

Abstract

Virtual power plants (VPPs) have emerged as an innovative solution for modern power systems, particularly for integrating renewable energy sources. This study proposes a novel prediction approach combining improved K-means clustering with Time Convolutional Networks (TCNs), a Bi-directional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), and an attention mechanism to enhance the forecasting accuracy of wind and photovoltaic power generation in VPPs. The proposed TCN-BiGRU-Attention model demonstrates superior predictive performance compared to traditional models, achieving high accuracy and robustness. These results provide a reliable basis for optimizing VPP operations and integrating renewable energy sources effectively.

SustainabilityVol. 16(23)
Shanghai Electric (China) (CN), Northeastern University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.67
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Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Virtual Power Plants Based on the Fusion of Improved K-Means Cluster Analysis and Deep Learning — Ye Tian, Yanhong Luo, et al. · Sustainability (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS