A fragile truce will set in between Lebanon and Israel

Significance Over the next 60 days, Israeli forces will gradually withdraw from Lebanon, during which the risk of renewed fighting remains high. In the long term, the ceasefire relies on the Lebanese army's uncertain ability to check Hezbollah's presence in the south. Impacts Syrian rebels have renewed their fight against the Assad regime, which may cause Hezbollah to expand its military presence there. The ceasefire lowers, but does not eliminate, the challenges facing the Israeli economy. A durable ceasefire in Lebanon will motivate renewed truce efforts in Gaza.