A Bayesian-interference approach to quantify degradation parameters in a water-cooled variable speed screw compressor chiller

Abstract Variable-speed screw chillers can provide effective capacity modulations in commercial buildings to reduce energy consumption, match the load requirements, and contribute to lower equivalent carbon emissions. However, variable-speed operation can also yield to degradation phenomena inside the compressor. Assessing the real-time health status of chillers and detecting anomalies are important aspects to ensure long-term operation and improve reliability. To this end, an automated accelerated life test (ALT) procedure was developed and applied to a 513 kW (145.9 RT) water-cooled variable-speed screw chiller in a laboratory test facility to experimental assess performance degradation over time. After every 1,000 operating hours of ALT, steady-state performance tests at 30%, 50%, 75% and 100% load were conducted according to AHRI Standard 550/590. Additional operating conditions were included while conducting the tests to provide a more complete assessment of the degradation trends compared to the initially measured baseline. The experimental data set was then used to quantify the performance degradation based on the impact on the screw compressor operation. A Bayesian-inference identification approach has been developed to identify changes of sensitive parameters that statistically provide evidence for the likelihood of a performance degradation of the compressor. The information was used to implement the parameters in a dynamic model which was used to perform studies to predict the degradations of a chiller. The outcomes of this study help to improve the maintenance schedule of a compressor and even the whole chiller so that the system can be operated more economically and unplanned downtime can be minimized.