CIPAT: Latent-resilient Toolkit for Performance Impact Prediction due to Configuration Tuning

Cellular service providers (CSPs) aim to optimize network performance and enhance user experience by tuning network configurations. However, this process often requires continuous live network testing, which incurs significant operational costs. In this paper, we focus on predicting the impact of configuration changes using historical data, thereby reducing the need for live network tests. A key challenge in developing such a model is accounting for unobserved external factors (e.g., weather, referred to as latents) that can introduce confounding effects between configurations and performance metrics. To address this, we employ intermediate network metrics, called Mobility, Access, and Traffic (MAT) metrics, which are influenced by both configurations and latents, and in turn, affect performance metrics. We introduce Configuration Impact Prediction Analysis Toolkit (CIPAT), a novel two-stage toolkit developed using a comprehensive real-world dataset from live LTE networks. Our evaluation demonstrates that CIPAT enables CSPs to predict the performance impact of proposed configuration changes with up to 86% accuracy and 85% efficacy, thereby reducing the operational costs associated with configuration tuning.