Preliminary analysis of the annual component of the polar motion over 180-year data interval

The paper presents preliminary results of studying variations in the annual component in the Earth’s polar motion. For this purpose, a signal with an annual period was extracted, firstly, from the series of pole coordinates of the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS), and secondly, from the combined series of Pulkovo latitude variations for 1840–2017. For this purpose, one-dimensional and multidimensional singular spectrum analysis was used. The Hilbert transform was used to calculate the change in the amplitude and phase of the annual oscillation over time. As a result, it turned out that over an interval of about 180 years, an almost monotonic increase in the amplitude of the annual oscillation from ≈60 mas to ≈90 mas and an almost monotonic phase shift of ≈45◦ are observed. A correlation was also found between the amplitude of the annual component and the difference in average temperatures from November to March in the northern and southern hemispheres.

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Publication Details

Journal
Publications of the Pulkovo Observatory
Published
2024-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31725/0367-7966-2024-235-44-50
Primary Topic
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
Type
article
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article

Preliminary analysis of the annual component of the polar motion over 180-year data interval

Zinovy Malkin, Natalia Miller
Publications of the Pulkovo Observatory
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
article

Preliminary analysis of the annual component of the polar motion over 180-year data interval

Zinovy Malkin, Natalia Miller
article en

Abstract

The paper presents preliminary results of studying variations in the annual component in the Earth’s polar motion. For this purpose, a signal with an annual period was extracted, firstly, from the series of pole coordinates of the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS), and secondly, from the combined series of Pulkovo latitude variations for 1840–2017. For this purpose, one-dimensional and multidimensional singular spectrum analysis was used. The Hilbert transform was used to calculate the change in the amplitude and phase of the annual oscillation over time. As a result, it turned out that over an interval of about 180 years, an almost monotonic increase in the amplitude of the annual oscillation from ≈60 mas to ≈90 mas and an almost monotonic phase shift of ≈45◦ are observed. A correlation was also found between the amplitude of the annual component and the difference in average temperatures from November to March in the northern and southern hemispheres.

Publications of the Pulkovo ObservatoryVol. 235
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
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