Weather- and climate-driven power supply and demand time series for power and energy system analyses

Reaching net-zero carbon emissions requires large shares of intermittent renewable energy and the electrification of end-use consumption, such as heating, making the future energy system highly dependent on weather variability and climate change. Weather exhibits fluctuations on temporal scales ranging from sub-hourly to yearly while climate variations occur on decadal scales. To investigate the intricate interplay between weather patterns, climate variations, and power systems, we developed a database of time series of wind and solar power generation, hydropower inflow, heating and cooling demand using an internally consistent modeling framework. Here we focused on the European continent and generated country level time series extending between 1940 and 2100. Our database can be used for analyses aimed at understanding and addressing the challenges posed by the evolving energy landscape in the face of deep decarbonization and climate change.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2024-12-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04129-8
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.46

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article

Weather- and climate-driven power supply and demand time series for power and energy system analyses

Alice Di Bella, Enrico G. A. Antonini, Iacopo Savelli, Massimo Tavoni et al.
7 citations
Scientific Data
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
1.46
article

Weather- and climate-driven power supply and demand time series for power and energy system analyses

Alice Di Bella, Enrico G. A. Antonini, Iacopo Savelli, Massimo Tavoni, Laurent Drouet
article en
7 citations

Abstract

Reaching net-zero carbon emissions requires large shares of intermittent renewable energy and the electrification of end-use consumption, such as heating, making the future energy system highly dependent on weather variability and climate change. Weather exhibits fluctuations on temporal scales ranging from sub-hourly to yearly while climate variations occur on decadal scales. To investigate the intricate interplay between weather patterns, climate variations, and power systems, we developed a database of time series of wind and solar power generation, hydropower inflow, heating and cooling demand using an internally consistent modeling framework. Here we focused on the European continent and generated country level time series extending between 1940 and 2100. Our database can be used for analyses aimed at understanding and addressing the challenges posed by the evolving energy landscape in the face of deep decarbonization and climate change.

Scientific DataVol. 11(1)
RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (IT), CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT), Bocconi University (IT), Politecnico di Milano (IT)
European Commission
Climate action, Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
1.46
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Weather- and climate-driven power supply and demand time series for power and energy system analyses — Alice Di Bella, Enrico G. A. Antonini, et al. · Scientific Data (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS