Artificial Intelligence Based Hybrid ASFO-ESVM for Load Demand Prediction in Micro Grid Energy Management

Predicting load demand is relevant when used in microgrid energy management systems to address issues such as nonlinear and dynamic consumption data. In this research, the author presents a fusion of Adaptive Sunflower Optimization (ASFO) and Enhanced Support Vector Machine (ESVM) methods to predict the load demand in micro grid environment. The ASFO algorithm enhances the efficiency of the ESVM through a fine-tuning meta-heuristic algorithm based on the sunflower natural organisms. This integration of ASFO and ESVM eliminates many of the drawbacks associated with the basic performance of the task, namely low speed of convergence, overtraining, and the presence of local minima in choosing the parameters. Some of the general parameters used in training and validating the model include load and meteorological data features involving, weather, temporal, load histories are the main contributors in the analysis. Comparisons with other ML algorithm ‘shave been made in respect of relative performance against established methods, such as Random Forest (RF) and Particle Swarm Optimization based with ESVM (PSO-ESVM). The findings infer that lower values of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error (SMAPE) and higher consistency index (d) are yielded by the proposed hybrid ASFO-ESVM model. For instance, even on working days of the week, the precision of the load forecasts was higher with the hybrid model than with the other options. The outcomes do prove that the proposed ASFO-ESVM model is very reliable and precise in its concerning aspect of load demand forecasting as it can be seen in the results obtained for different situations. Relatively, this work estimates a cost effective and feasible method for micro grid energy predictions which can enhance decisions in matters concerning power production, distribution, and control of energy. The study shows how these techniques are relevant towards the complexity and dynamism of the contemporary energy systems.