Improved landslide susceptibility assessment: A new negative sample collection strategy and a comparative analysis of zoning methods

• Rainfall, elevation, and water system are the primary conditioning factors. • The high LSIs are mainly concentrated near the water system and the main urban area. • The new strategy of collecting negative samples based on slope units can significantly improve negative samples’ quality. • The slope units-based model has the best prediction performance for landslide susceptibility. • Compared five susceptibility zoning methods’ applicability and effectiveness. Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) aims to determine the spatial probability of landslides, reducing the loss caused by future landslides. In order to assess the impact of various negative sample collection strategies on the prediction accuracy of the landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) model, and to investigate the effectiveness of landslide susceptibility zoning methods. Taking Fengjie County, Chongqing City, China as the study area, this study proposes three negative sample collection strategies based on slope unit, buffer zone, and information value, and combines them with C5.0 decision tree (DT) model respectively to construct an LSA model. Concurrently, the landslide susceptibility indexes (LSIs) were divided using the K-means clustering algorithm and contrasted with the natural breakpoint classification (NBC), quantile classification (QC), equal interval classification (EIC), and geometric interval classification (GIC) methods. The results show that: (1) Rainfall, elevation, and water system are the primary conditioning factors of landslide development in the study area. (2) The accuracy of the negative sample collection strategy based on the slope units on the model training subset and the test subset reached 97.78 % and 92.99 %, respectively, and the AUC values were 0.978 and 0.930, indicating high model accuracy. (3) The zoning effect based on the K-means clustering algorithm was the best, and the predicted very-high and high susceptibility areas were 805.73 km 2 and 567.66 km 2 , respectively, accounting for 19.59 % and 13.80 % of Fengjie County. The very-high and high susceptibility areas had maximum FR values of 3.963 and 1.432, respectively, when compared to other zoning methods. This study can provide a more objective and scientific method for LSA, and the findings can offer more precise decision assistance for risk management and geological disaster prevention.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecological Indicators
Published
2024-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112948
Citations
19
Primary Topic
Landslides and related hazards
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
13.49
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article

Improved landslide susceptibility assessment: A new negative sample collection strategy and a comparative analysis of zoning methods

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19 citations
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Landslides and related hazards
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article

Improved landslide susceptibility assessment: A new negative sample collection strategy and a comparative analysis of zoning methods

Jiani Wang, Haimei Qi, Cheng Li, Yunqi Wang, M. H. Li, Zihan Qi, Xiaoming Zhang
article en
19 citations

Abstract

• Rainfall, elevation, and water system are the primary conditioning factors. • The high LSIs are mainly concentrated near the water system and the main urban area. • The new strategy of collecting negative samples based on slope units can significantly improve negative samples’ quality. • The slope units-based model has the best prediction performance for landslide susceptibility. • Compared five susceptibility zoning methods’ applicability and effectiveness. Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) aims to determine the spatial probability of landslides, reducing the loss caused by future landslides. In order to assess the impact of various negative sample collection strategies on the prediction accuracy of the landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) model, and to investigate the effectiveness of landslide susceptibility zoning methods. Taking Fengjie County, Chongqing City, China as the study area, this study proposes three negative sample collection strategies based on slope unit, buffer zone, and information value, and combines them with C5.0 decision tree (DT) model respectively to construct an LSA model. Concurrently, the landslide susceptibility indexes (LSIs) were divided using the K-means clustering algorithm and contrasted with the natural breakpoint classification (NBC), quantile classification (QC), equal interval classification (EIC), and geometric interval classification (GIC) methods. The results show that: (1) Rainfall, elevation, and water system are the primary conditioning factors of landslide development in the study area. (2) The accuracy of the negative sample collection strategy based on the slope units on the model training subset and the test subset reached 97.78 % and 92.99 %, respectively, and the AUC values were 0.978 and 0.930, indicating high model accuracy. (3) The zoning effect based on the K-means clustering algorithm was the best, and the predicted very-high and high susceptibility areas were 805.73 km 2 and 567.66 km 2 , respectively, accounting for 19.59 % and 13.80 % of Fengjie County. The very-high and high susceptibility areas had maximum FR values of 3.963 and 1.432, respectively, when compared to other zoning methods. This study can provide a more objective and scientific method for LSA, and the findings can offer more precise decision assistance for risk management and geological disaster prevention.

Ecological IndicatorsVol. 169
Ministry of Natural Resources (CN), Beijing Forestry University (CN), China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research (CN), Chongqing Academy of Forestry (CN), Chongqing Institute of Geology and Mineral Resources (CN), Chongqing Three Gorges University (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Landslides and related hazards
13.49
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